§3. ПОЛИТЗАНЯТИЯ

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80% капитала

Автор: Варнак (194.84.59.---) Дата:   04-11-04 16:54 http://www.kitco.com/weekly/paulvaneeden/oct082004.html http://www.it-trade.ru/itforum/theme.asp?forum_id=2&theme_id=22015 Сейчас на погашение дефицита платежного баланса США необходимо более 80% мирового свободного капитала, а типа если так пойдет и дальше (по модели Dr. Murenbeeld ) то через 3-4 года потребуется триллион баксов - 125% мирового свободного капитала But in his talk at the Cambridge House Investment Conference in Toronto last weekend Adrian Day (President of Global Strategic Management in Maryland) mentioned that to finance the current account deficit the United States needs to attract more than eighty percent of the world’s net export capital. Think about it, eighty percent of net capital being invested in the world has to be invested in the United States, or else the dollar will fall. Now, back to Dr. Murenbeeld again. His models show that if the dollar does not decline, the US current account deficit could reach one trillion dollars in the next three to four years. So, if the present current account deficit requires eighty percent of the world’s net export capital, then a trillion dollar deficit will require one hundred and twenty-five percent of the current available net export capital, which is obviously impossible. So either the dollar has to fall, or the world’s net available export capital has to grow by twenty-five percent over the next four years and make its way to the US in its entirety. I find it hard to believe the latter is going to happen, so my bet is on the former: a decline in the dollar.

Ну так наш стаб.фонд

Автор: BAPBAP (---.dialup.mns.ru) Дата:   04-11-04 19:11 он ведь в штатах (приличной частью) - вот вам кусок из этих 80%. Если боишься - ничего не делай, если делаешь - ничего не бойся.

А вот внешний долг США...

Автор: Атанов Юрий (213.171.63.---) Дата:   05-11-04 00:12 ...с официального сайта http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdpenny.htm The Debt To the Penny Current Amount 11/03/2004 $7,429,534,987,752.69 Current Month 11/02/2004 $7,429,582,471,118.88 11/01/2004 $7,429,629,954,236.43 Prior Months 10/29/2004 $7,429,677,448,545.04 Prior Fiscal Years 09/30/2004 $7,379,052,696,330.32 09/30/2003 $6,783,231,062,743.62 09/30/2002 $6,228,235,965,597.16 09/28/2001 $5,807,463,412,200.06 09/29/2000 $5,674,178,209,886.86 09/30/1999 $5,656,270,901,615.43 09/30/1998 $5,526,193,008,897.62 09/30/1997 $5,413,146,011,397.34 09/30/1996 $5,224,810,939,135.73 09/29/1995 $4,973,982,900,709.39 09/30/1994 $4,692,749,910,013.32 09/30/1993 $4,411,488,883,139.38 09/30/1992 $4,064,620,655,521.66 09/30/1991 $3,665,303,351,697.03 09/28/1990 $3,233,313,451,777.25 09/29/1989 $2,857,430,960,187.32 09/30/1988 $2,602,337,712,041.16 09/30/1987 $2,350,276,890,953.00

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